An opinion poll revealed on Saturday that the Australian elections 2016 will be a tough contest between Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull and Opposition Leader Bill Shorten.
Despite the changing voters’ preferences after the election campaign began two weeks ago, some voters still think Turnbull’s reign is likely to return. In the Ipsos polls, Turnbull’s Coalition is a neck and neck competition with its rival centre-left Labor Party with 51-49 percent votes grabbed by the respective parties.
Reuters also mentioned Seven News’ ReachTEL poll that was also conducted along with Fairfax Media’s Ipsos, which depicted an unchanged 50-50 voter preference for both the parties and their leaders. As far as individual popularity is concerned, Ipsos indicated that Turnbull’s level of popularity has dropped this time to 47 percent. However, despite this slip, he remains the most preferred prime minister over Shorten who managed to grab only 30 percent of the votes.
It was the Ipsos polls that predicted Turnbull’s win over Shorten by 67-21 votes in October. That was the time when Turnbull grabbed major support from the public after he took over the position from former Prime Minister Tony Abbott. And it is the same poll that has seen such a fall in the party preferences, which indicates the July 2 elections to be a tough competition between the two parties. “Turnbull was expecting to run rings around Labor in this campaign and instead Labor have him in their sights,” said Peter Chen, a political scientist at Sydney University. “He would be a very nervous man this morning.”
9News‘ depiction of polls suggests that 57 percent voters believe in the win of the Coalition over Labor that managed only 20 percent of voters in their favour. An almost 4.3 percent hike is required for Labor to win an extra 21 seats in Australian elections 2016. On the other hand, the Coalition cannot manage the loss of three percent of votes, leading to the loss of more than 14 seats, if it aims in continuing its government this session as well.